Tuesday, November 16, 2010

Skins On Track for 7-9

After the well-earned slaughter by Filthadelphia on national TV, the Skins' remaining games are Titans, Vikings, Pig Giants, Bucs, Cowgirls, Jags and Pig Giants.

Of these 7, there are 3 the Skins won't win: both Pig Giants games and the one with the Bucs. Those two teams have significantly better records than the Skins. Then there are 2 they should win: the Vikes and the Cowgirls, who have worse records than the Skins. Finally there are 2 the Skins might win: the Titans and Jags, whose records are roughly comparable to the Skins.

To finish 7-9 as the consensus preseason prediction was for the Skins, they need to win 3 of the 4 remaining games that they both should and could win.

So if they go 3 for 7 for the rest of the year, that is a winning percentage of 43%. Oddly enough, going 7 for 16 over a whole season also gives you 43%. And how are you doing at 4 for 9, as they are today? They're at 44%.

Pretty hard not to detect a pattern here….

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